Page 32 - January 16, 2025 Bulletin
P. 32

BUSINESS PARTNERfeature article

                                     The Next Step for the GSEs























                                                                         Andrea F. Pringle

                                                           Financial Strategist and MBS analyst
                                                                             The Baker Group


        The reelection of Donald Trump to the US presidency has   Their Conservatorship Arrangement
        ignited a flurry of speculation about whether his second
        administration will attempt to reprivatize Fannie Mae and
        Freddie Mac, also known as government-sponsored enterprises   Prior to the GFC, the GSEs were funded entirely with private
        “GSEs.” President Trump previously sought to end the   capital but had a $2.25 billion line of credit with the Treasury,
        conservatorship of Fannie and Freddie in his first term, but   which was interpreted as an implied government backing. As the
        those endeavors were cut short when his tenure came to an   housing market deteriorated, the ability of the GSEs to service
        end. The effort is expected to gain momentum under the   their $5+ trillion of outstanding debt became questionable
        second Trump administration as his party will also control   and the government intervened. That intervention came in the
        both branches of Congress. If the Trump administration does   form of “conservatorship,” which is a legal status that allows
        pursue privatization, the process is unlikely to move quickly as   their regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency “FHFA,”
        several significant hurdles remain.                    to essentially fulfill the role of and replace the rights of the
                                                               companies’ shareholders and board of directors.

        Background
                                                               The Treasury also stepped in financially through a formal
                                                               “Preferred Stock Purchase Agreement” (PSPA) that assured the
        Fannie and Freddie are technically private, shareholder owned   Treasury would support the creditworthiness of both companies.
        corporations but have been under government conservatorship   In the first few years of conservatorship, the GSEs drew about
        since the Global Financial Crisis “GFC” (September 2008). They   $190 billion in funding from the Treasury in the form preferred
        were chartered by Congress with a public mission to promote   stock and warrants. In return, they were required to send most of
        homeownership and provide stability to the mortgage market.   their profits back to the Treasury for repayment. Consequently,
        Due to their conservatorship arrangement, the US Treasury has   the GSEs were not retaining earnings to rebuild capital until
        the largest financial interest in Fannie and Freddie today, akin to   a 2019 amendment under the first Trump administration
        that of a majority shareholder.                        permitted them to retain some of their earnings.


        As a reminder, the GSEs don’t originate or service mortgage loans   Even after the Treasury’s capital injection was paid back, the
        themselves. They buy and securitize mortgages originated by other   Treasury continued to receive the bulk of GSEs’ profits. Those
        lenders and guarantee the principal and interest, which transforms   payments have gone into general Treasury funds, reducing the
        individual mortgage loans into marketable bonds. This enables   amount the government has to borrow each year. Since the
        a competitive takeout for lenders, which means they don’t have   2019 amendment, Fannie and Freddie have been permitted to
        to hold loans on their books or hold capital against them. It also   maintain modest capital reserves.
        enables non-depository institutions to compete in the space, all of
        which helps to bring the cost of mortgages down.



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