Page 42 - February 20, 2025 Bulletin
P. 42

BUSINESS PARTNERfeature article

                                   Liquidity Risk Management:




                                    A Continued Regulatory Focus












                                                                              Dale Sheller
                                      Managing Director & Director of Financial Strategies Group
                                                                             The Baker Group




        It has been almost two years since the failures of Silicon Valley   at a moment’s notice. Identification of potential funding sources
        Bank and Signature Bank have shown that liquidity risk can   for shortfalls that result from stress scenarios is a key component
        produce a bank failure instantly versus a slower, asset quality-  of an adequate CFP. A best practice is to test those lines at least
        related failure. These liquidity-related failures put a level of   annually, if not more frequently in today’s environment, and to
        fear and panic into the banking industry during a time when   document the testing of those lines.
        the Federal Reserve increased interest rates at an unpreceded
        pace and magnitude. Over the last few years, the actions of the   Liquidity Cash Flow Modeling and Stress Testing
        Federal Reserve quickly reversed liquidity out of the banking   Historically, many financial institutions used single point-
        system and tightened liquidity levels across many institutions.   in-time measurements (such as a liquid asset ratio) to assess
        Liquidity risk management and contingency funding planning   their liquidity position. Static liquidity measures can provide
        remain front and center for many risk management examiners.   valuable information, but cash flow forecasting (sources or
                                                               uses of funds reporting) can enhance a financial institution’s
        Deposit Competition Has Eased
                                                               ability to manage and monitor liquidity risk. The complexity of
        During the height of the pandemic, institutions were drowning   liquidity cash flow forecasting models can range from the use
        in deposits and excess liquidity. But after 525 basis points of   of a simple spreadsheet to more comprehensive liquidity risk
        tightening from the Federal Reserve in under two years, a battle   models. Liquidity stress testing is typically done by utilizing your
        for deposits ensued. Alongside the 100 basis points of Fed easing   liquidity cash flow model and changing various assumptions in
        in late 2024, deposit pricing and pressures have eased for many   the base case scenario. Institutions should conduct stress tests
        institutions. As a result, most institutions reached their peak   regularly for a variety of institution-specific and market-wide
        funding costs in Q4 2024.                              events across multiple time horizons. The results of liquidity
                                                               stress testing should play a role in shaping the institution’s
        Contingency Funding Planning
                                                               contingency funding planning. When in doubt, think about
        As a direct result of the 2023 bank failures and tighter liquidity   high impact and low probability type of scenarios. It isn’t what
        environment, the regulators released an “Addendum to the   you expect to happen, but what could possibly happen, even if
        Interagency Policy Statement on Funding and Liquidity Risk   the chance is remote.
        Management: Importance of Contingency Funding Plan” in
        July 2023. The guidance reiterates the need for an actionable   Whether you recently finished a recent regulatory examination
        CFP that considers a range of possible stress scenarios.   or are gearing up for one, you will likely agree that liquidity
        Additionally, the guidance called for depository institutions to   risk management remains one of the hottest regulatory focus
        test the operational readiness of their CFP by regularly testing   items. Ensuring you have an iron clad liquidity risk management
        their borrowing lines to ensure their staffs are well versed in   program well before your next examination is critical.
        how to access the lines. The guidance encourages depository
        institutions to incorporate the discount window as part of their
        contingency funding planning. As a rule of thumb, it is never
        bad to have more avenues to add liquidity to the balance sheet



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