Page 32 - May 23, 2024 Bulletin
P. 32

BUSINESS PARTNERfeature article

           Rising BAB



           Redemptions




                                                                        Dana Sparkman, CFA
                                                           Senior Vice President/Municipal Analyst
                                                                       Financial Strategies Group
                                                                                The Baker Group


        Build America Bonds (BABs) were created as part of the 2009   •   Municipal-to-Treasury ratios, a common measure of relative value of
        American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA). BABs are        tax-exempt municipal bonds, for most terms have fallen significantly
        federally taxable municipal bonds issued during 2009 and 2010 for   with some nearing or reaching record lows. This has enabled some
        which up to 35% of the borrowing costs are federally subsidized   issuers to find savings by refinancing taxable BABs with tax-exempt
        either through payments to the issuer (Direct-Pay BABs) or     debt despite the interest rate hikes in recent years.
        through payments to bondholders (Tax Credit BABs). The IRS   •   Further, issuers may want to reduce the risk of additional cuts in
        estimates that more than $181 billion of BABs were issued by state   the federal subsidy by refinancing BABs with tax-exempt debt. The
        and local governments, and Bloomberg data suggests that about   chart below shows the history of the subsidy cuts according to the
        $116 billion of BABs were still outstanding as of March 2024.  IRS:
        Direct-Pay BABs often contain Extraordinary Redemption Provisions (ERPs),
        which are usually triggered by a material adverse change in the subsidy. The
        exact language varies amongst different bonds with some having precise
        definitions of what constitutes a material adverse change while others contain
        more vague verbiage. For the latter category, it has been widely viewed that
        the federal subsidy cuts stemming from the Budget Control Act of 2011,
        commonly known as sequestration, resulted in a material adverse change to the
        subsidy and, therefore, triggered the ERP.
        Extraordinary redemptions of BABs have occurred each year since
        sequestration first started in 2013, but the amount called each year has
        been rather low until recently. There has been a noticeable uptick in BAB
        redemptions so far in 2024, and some analysts expect many more to be called
        later this year. Investors may be puzzled as to why issuers are choosing to
        redeem their BABs now if the ERP was triggered in 2013, and there are several   The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (MSRB) noted in a recent brief
        reasons contributing to this trend:                    that it has observed “a number of BABs trading in the secondary market
                                                               at a significant premium to par.” Spreads have widened somewhat as these
        1.   A court ruling clarifying that sequestration constituted an
            “extraordinary event.”                             redemptions have become a more prominent issue, which indicates the market
                                                               may be starting to recognize an increase in the call risk present. However,
            •   A recent court decision (Indiana Municipal Power Agency v. US)   investors who own or purchase BABs at a premium price may be at risk of
               supports the conclusion that federal budget sequestration cuts did in   realizing losses due to early redemption if the issuer chooses to exercise an
               fact result in an extraordinary event that triggered many ERPs. This   extraordinary redemption call option. Fortunately, today’s higher interest rate
               decision provides the clarity some issuers needed to proceed with   environment provides opportunities to favorably reinvest the redemption
               redeeming their BABs using the ERP.             proceeds, which is rather uncommon given that redemptions are usually more
                                                               frequent in falling rate scenarios.
        2.   Make-Whole call prices have fallen as market rates have increased.
                                                               These circumstances highlight the importance of investors researching and
            •   The price at which a bond may be redeemed is stated in the   understanding all applicable redemption provisions, particularly when
               prospectus for each bond. It can be at par, at a premium, or at a   purchasing municipal bonds at prices above par. This information can be
               make-whole call price. Make-Whole call prices provide investors   found within the prospectus and should be provided on pre-purchase offering
               with the net present value of the future principal and interest   documentation as well.
               payments, calculated using a specified benchmark rate plus a spread
               as the discount rate. Make-Whole call options are rarely exercised   Dana Sparkman, CFA, is Senior Vice President/Municipal Analyst
               because they are usually very costly for the issuer, but higher interest   in The Baker Group’s Financial Strategies Group. She manages a
               rates result in a higher discount rate and a lower present value   municipal credit database that covers more than 150,000 municipal
               payment. Hence, a lower call price in current market conditions.  bonds, providing clients with specific credit metrics essential in assessing
        3.   Market dynamics favor refinancing taxable debt with tax-exempt   municipal credit. Dana earned a bachelor’s degree in finance from the
            debt.                                                University of Central Oklahoma as well as the Chartered Financial
                                                                 Analyst designation. Contact: 405-415-7223, dana@GoBaker.com.



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